ValueWayofLife https://valuewayoflife.com Bring Value to Your Context Sat, 05 Jun 2021 01:10:45 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.1 https://i0.wp.com/valuewayoflife.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/cropped-Stairs-Square-Psd.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 ValueWayofLife https://valuewayoflife.com 32 32 194876988 The Bullwhip Effect is Reaping Havoc on Markets https://valuewayoflife.com/2021/06/05/the-bullwhip-effect-is-reaping-havoc-on-markets/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-bullwhip-effect-is-reaping-havoc-on-markets https://valuewayoflife.com/2021/06/05/the-bullwhip-effect-is-reaping-havoc-on-markets/#respond Sat, 05 Jun 2021 01:05:46 +0000 https://valuewayoflife.com/?p=922 Demand Dropping Crisis I’ve observed master supply chain and operations managers wielding a billion dollar P&L ramp down production and lean out inventory faster and harder than what is comprehensible. Think of a billion-pound freight train that is 10 miles long. It has been chugging along for 10 years going 150 mph. During those 10 […]

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Demand Dropping Crisis

I’ve observed master supply chain and operations managers wielding a billion dollar P&L ramp down production and lean out inventory faster and harder than what is comprehensible.

Think of a billion-pound freight train that is 10 miles long. It has been chugging along for 10 years going 150 mph. During those 10 years there has always been track in front and it’s been continually updated to run without stopping. The masterful conductor although he really doesn’t have to worry about it, still keeps an eye out for obstructions to the track. One day, he’s having his coffee, and he sees something strange on the horizon. It’s weirdly dark and he can’t see the usual glare of the track. A few seconds go buy and then he realizes what it is. There is no more track; only a huge gaping cliff to which he is approaching at 150 mph. “Oh man, this one is going to be close,” he mumbles to himself. But because he is a master conductor, he rallies all his people running the train and they stop that thing so hard the spikes start coming up out of the ties. And just as hard as that conductor can stop a train, he can get it moving again.

Most other conductors were less skilled and as such they either stopped watching the track 5 years ago, or never learned how to use the brakes. Either way, they went over the cliff and the only thing that stopped their demise was an expensive government airbag to catch them at the bottom. Just as they didn’t know how to stop, they also are not well versed in building up the momentum quickly to get their ten-mile-long train moving again.

This is what his happening to global supply chains right now. When demand dropped to zero, supply chain and operations managers in an effort to preserve cash, slowed production to a minimum and pushed out their inventory orders to stop the cash bleed. The skillful ones did this with agility and precision. Therefore, they were able to bounce back when demand returned. The rest, which is most of them, bled too long. Some firms got a blood donation from the government. Overall, many are still coasting their trains at a minimum pace and are now struggling to get back in it.

The Bullwhip Effect

The problem with getting the train moving again is that most firms stopped their supply chain pipeline. In general, every time a firm steps outside of their regular supply ordering, their immediate supplier has to react accordingly, which tells the supplier’s supplier to react, and so on and so forth. That chain reaction has a lag time associated with it where it might take three months before the supplier three tiers up the chain even feels that there is a disruption. This lag time ends up amplifying the supply disruption. When demand returns to a manufacturer who just ran themselves out of raw material and shut their three-month pipeline off, the manufacturer places huge orders to replenish that pipeline. In so doing, each supplier up the chain orders a little extra to anticipate even greater demand based on such an irregularly large order from their customer. Three months later, the supplier furthest up the supply chain finally catches wind of the demand. But it’s not just wind. Within that three months’ time, manufacturers have not been able to produce to meet their new demand, so they all start panic buying. (We observed the effects of panic buying with the toilet paper shortage during the COVID-19 pandemic.) The supplier three months up the chain receives the hurricane of all the panic demand and turns on that factory full blast and even raises their prices knowing that there is much higher demand than they are able to supply. Thus, you have this bullwhip effect that shocks the whole supply chain. This doesn’t apply to ALL supply chains but it applies to enough of them that entire markets suffer from commodity shortages and huge price increases. Think of the chip shortage from May of 2021, or the current lumber shortage and subsequent unprecedented increased prices.

The Opportunity

The takeaway from this is supply chain professionals can sit back and REACT as they have been for years, or they can choose to grind and build an agile supply chain that literally brings their firm a significant competitive advantage over their competition the next time commodity markets go through a demand squeeze. This strategic supply chain cannot be built overnight. It will take years, but if it is done right, the firm benefiting from it will be able to dance around their competition as if nothing is wrong.

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My Story https://valuewayoflife.com/2021/05/22/elementor-754/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=elementor-754 https://valuewayoflife.com/2021/05/22/elementor-754/#respond Sat, 22 May 2021 15:13:52 +0000 https://valuewayoflife.com/?p=754 My Story I’m a jack of all trades, master of none. I’m good at a lot of things, I have a lot of hobbies (Cars, Fishing, Boating, Cigars, Roasting Coffee, Art…), and yet I haven’t really been comfortable getting serious and specializing in any one area. My path thus far has been traditional; finish high […]

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My Story

I’m a jack of all trades, master of none. I’m good at a lot of things, I have a lot of hobbies (Cars, Fishing, Boating, Cigars, Roasting Coffee, Art…), and yet I haven’t really been comfortable getting serious and specializing in any one area.

My path thus far has been traditional; finish high school, go to college, and get a corporate job. Currently, I’m four years out of college and four years into the corporate adventure as a supply chain professional. While it’s been pretty sweet, it’s also left me wanting something more.

 

Why Now?

Honestly because I’m too ambitious and impatient to simply accept grinding out 40-years in a corporate journey and living for the weekends. Especially when I’m having a bad week at work. I’m definitely committed to it, as evidenced by being a year out of completing an MBA, but I NEED something more. Maybe you feel the same way.

Well, I’m deciding to dive into the internet, because honestly it feels foolish to stay on the sidelines any longer as the internet matures and the barriers to entry continue to rise.

This brings me to Valuewayoflife. Which seeks to answer the question, how can we live a value-filled life in our context? Whether that context is a 40 year corporate grind, or running an internet business, this is what Valuewayoflife will explore.

 

This is For You!

I’m excited to kick off this journey with you and engage with you.

Valuewayoflife starting out, will primarily take a business focus. Ideally as I engage with you, I want to explore topics that you’re interested in so please don’t hesitate to comment! DM me. Email me. Eventually text me. I’ll be responding regularly! We’ll dive deep into how to bring value to your context.

Here’s what is exciting, this is the beginning! 99% of this story hasn’t been written yet!

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Is Work From Home Permanent? How to Stand Out and Get Noticed Back in the Office https://valuewayoflife.com/2020/12/15/is-work-from-home-permanent-how-to-stand-out-and-get-noticed-back-in-the-office/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=is-work-from-home-permanent-how-to-stand-out-and-get-noticed-back-in-the-office https://valuewayoflife.com/2020/12/15/is-work-from-home-permanent-how-to-stand-out-and-get-noticed-back-in-the-office/#respond Tue, 15 Dec 2020 15:12:08 +0000 https://valuewayoflife.com/?p=779 Maybe you are thinking, “My employer is not going to have me return to the office”. That is possible if they sold the building, but here are some numbers that may make you consider the outcome differently. At the beginning of the pandemic, according to Forbes citing an MIT study, nearly half of the workforce […]

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Maybe you are thinking, “My employer is not going to have me return to the office”. That is possible if they sold the building, but here are some numbers that may make you consider the outcome differently. At the beginning of the pandemic, according to Forbes citing an MIT study, nearly half of the workforce was working from home compared to what they found to be 15% pre-pandemic. You can read more about it here. Those numbers indicate that there was a 333% increase in the workforce very suddenly working from home. If you look at this from a business management perspective, that has created a vacuum of unutilized assets, particularly office space. The New York Times reported this month that Manhattan’s commercial real estate is devastated. Nearly 14% of it completely vacant. Manhattan, one of the most fast-paced places on earth, has so little interaction that 1.4 out of every 10 buildings are empty, idle, as in not moving. You can check out the article here.

Think about the ramifications of this from the perspective of trying to get in on a hot stock. Every time you think you are going to hit it big, you missed the ride to the top even if you were a minute behind. That is how quickly competative markets move. There are enterprising people working night and day in search of arbitrage opportunities where assets are undervalued. This leaves the fate of your office with two possible outcomes, either it will be sold, or the boss is going to move your rear-end back into your $600 desk chair that their investors bought for you to actually use.

Your Chance to Stand Out

Stand out as you return to your $600 desk chair.

There’s going to be a lot of people who are not excited about returning to the office, and maybe you’re one of them. That negativity is what drags down morale and performance more than anything. If you have savvy business leaders running the company, many of them are loosing sleep as they consider all the possible backlash and negativity they will have to lead through as the decision to have employees return to the office is executed.

Recognize that when you see a moment where you can pretty confidently apply a blanket statement to a population, that there is an opportunity to differentiate.

This is your chance to stand out. This is your chance to show those leaders, whether you actually feel this way or not, that you are thrilled to be back in the office. You can show up bringing a renewed attitude toward building momentum and winning. One of the first steps, and simplest ways to achieve that differentiation is in what you choose to wear to work.

All this is, is tapping into a mentality of considering the status quo around you and how you can bring additional value that goes beyond those expectations.

Be careful! Anytime you start to operate in this mindset of challenging yourself to exceed beyond the norms around you, leaders with influence over you will notice. They tend to react with interest in you and they will start to steer new challenging opportunities your way!

*Take a moment to contemplate areas in your workplace where the status quo has little to no real expectation.*

Persona in the Office

What you wear to work matters because, while this notion is not always overtly evident, the existence of an office in a world where capabilities can otherwise be converted to working from home indicates intentional separation from home life. This obviously is not the only reason for the existence of the office, but this is the main point for why what you decide to wear matters as you enter into that context of being separated from home life. The office is an intentionally designed space to foster higher levels of synergy that remote work cannot otherwise achieve. It is a space designed with professionalism. That professionalism, while required in the building, does not necessarily need to come home with you. The office helps bring work-life balance.

If it was a fight to be casual before, it is a norm now. Throughout the pandemic, as employees have worked from home, meetings have gone from in-person real observed body language to lagging facial expressions where the mute button was either accidentally left off or accidentally left on for the millionth time. Collogues no longer see more than the collar of a shirt which has afforded people with the opportunity to wear whatever is comfortable.
I hope you are picking up on how sloppy this etiquette has become. Many employees will return to the office with a blasé attitude assuming this new ethic as the norm, they may even look down to realize they are still wearing fleece pajama bottoms.

The opportunity here is to not take that mentality back to the office. Your boss will be going from seeing that you have an online status and presumably working, to actually seeing you in real life, working. How will you differentiate and prove to your boss that you are committed to your context?
If you are dressed like it’s the weekend, it projects the persona that you wish it was the weekend.
Show your boss that you want to be there. Clothing is a great way to fake it ’til you make it because even if you prefer to be working from home forever, you are wearing clothes that show you are committed to the moment that you’re in which is in the office working hard.

A recent Bloomberg Newsweek cover displayed a picture that was a metaphor to the evolutionary image of an ape becoming a homo sapien, where the cover was the evolution of the work from home professional. The employee starts hunched over (like an ape) squinting at his computer screen to working from home. Where at first he doesn’t know what to do with himself to the point where he has even stopped shaving. Eventually, he evolves like the ape into a homo sapien going from that painful squinty computer to a standing desk wearing professional attire on top and fleece pajamas on the bottom. He has arrived at prime work from home professionalism balance. The article itself goes on to explain that this may be the new normal.
Remember: If your employer is asking you to return to the office, do not let that be your new normal. The status quo is going to be to bring that lifestyle back to the office. You will not stand out. Realize your context and understand that casual is not appropriate for the office. (There are exceptions but we are not discussing those companies).

To conclude, when you look good you feel good. Even if you are partial to wearing comfy casual clothing, sticking to this mentality of dressing to impress will bring you more confidence. And honestly, you should feel confident knowing that you are truly contributing to making a positive impact anytime you go beyond the status quo.

Come away from this with an understanding that the leaders that have influence over your career, NOTICE.

 

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